Name: Implicacoes Economicas e Sociales (IES-Brasil)
Project Leaders: Emilio Lèbre La Rovere, Neilton Fidelis da Silva, Barbara Oliveira
Steering Committee: Forum Brasileiro de Mudanças Climáticas (Brazilian Climate Change Forum, in English)
Mandated by: Minister of Environment
Implementing Agency: CentroClima/COPPE/UFRJ (Technical co-ordination)
Dates: September 2012 – December 2015
IES-Brasil (Implições Econômicas e Sociais Brasil or Social and Economic Implications: GHG Mitigation Scenarios 2030/2050) is an initiative of the Brazilian Forum on Climate Change, mandated by the Brazilian Minister of Environment. It is implemented by Fórum Brasileiro de Mudanças Climáticas in collaboration with the MAPS Programme.
The project created economic scenarios for the period 2020-2030, identifying mitigation policies that will maximise social and economic development in Brazil. A Scenario Drafting Committee formulated the different emissions scenarios by involving, from the beginning, the government, the private sector, academia and civil society. This group agreed upon assumptions for two scenarios with selected additional mitigation measures going beyond the extension of current governmental plans, one including measures costing up to US$20/tCO2-eq, and the other up to US$100/tCO2-eq. The study also assessed the macroeconomic and social impacts in Brazil should a global carbon tax on burning fossil fuels be agreed, testing both US$20 and US$100 per tCO2-eq.These scenarios assisted decision makers both in the development of national climate change policies and in international climate negotiations, focusing on the Brazilian strategy for COP21 in 2015. The project also provide information that was be used by companies and NGOs in the development of mitigation strategies.